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Is the Hummer really Greener than the Prius? No.

“Dust to Dust” Report Mislead the Media and Public with Bad Science

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(OAKLAND, Calif.) The CNW Marketing Research, Inc.’s 2007 “Dust to Dust: The Energy Cost of New Vehicles From Concept to Disposal” caught the interest of the media and the public with its claim that a Hummer H3 SUV has a lower life-cycle energy cost than a Toyota Prius hybrid. Closer inspection by the Pacific Institute, a nonpartisan think-tank, suggests that the report’s conclusions rely on faulty methods of analysis, untenable assumptions, selective use and presentation of data, and a complete lack of peer review. Re-analysis yields results that are often opposite of CNW’s conclusions.

The most cursory look at CNW’s assumptions reveals serious biases and flaws. For instance, the average Hummer H1 is assumed to travel 379,000 miles over a 35-year lifetime, while the average Prius is assumed to last only 109,000 miles over less than 12 years. These assumptions are selective and unsupported, and they distort the report’s findings. Changing just the total lifetime mileage assumption reverses the conclusions: the Prius (and comparable automobiles) consume far less energy over their lifetimes than larger vehicles, especially the largest SUVs like Hummers.

The Institute calls on CNW to release its full report, including methods, assumptions, and data. Until “Dust to Dust” can be substantiated, the public and policymakers should ignore its conclusions. Unfortunately, “Dust to Dust” has already distorted the public debate.

Download the Pacific Institute's seven page re-analysis of “Dust to Dust” (PDF) at http://www.pacinst.org/topics/integrity_of_science/case_studies/hummer_vs_prius.pdff

Founded in 1987 and based in Oakland, California the Pacific Institute is an independent, nonpartisan think-tank studying issues at the intersection of development, environment, and security. The Institute’s Integrity of Science Initiative responds to and counters the assault on science and scientific integrity in the public policy arena. www.pacinst.org

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